Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 64.3%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 14.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
0.08) 
-0.04) 
