SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 49.47%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Albacete had a probability of 23.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for an Albacete win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Albacete |
49.47% ( 0.61) | 27.02% ( 0.04) | 23.51% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 44.68% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.68% ( -0.61) | 59.32% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.28% ( -0.47) | 79.72% ( 0.48) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.88% ( 0.01) | 24.12% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.58% ( 0.02) | 58.43% ( -0.01) |
| Albacete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.88% ( -0.96) | 41.12% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.34% ( -0.86) | 77.66% ( 0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Albacete |
| 1-0 @ 14.1% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.23)2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 49.46% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.23% Total : 23.51% |
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