Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.04) 
