Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Burgos | Draw | Espanyol |
39.74% ( 0.03) | 28.68% ( 0.01) | 31.57% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 45.21% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.85% ( -0.04) | 61.15% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.89% ( -0.03) | 81.1% ( 0.03) |
Burgos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.96% | 30.03% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.84% ( -0) | 66.16% ( -0) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.62% ( -0.05) | 35.38% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.86% ( -0.05) | 72.14% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Burgos | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 12.78% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.2% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.96% 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.45% Total : 39.74% | 1-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.67% | 0-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 2.08% Total : 31.56% |
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