SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 65.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 12.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.7%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Malaga |
| 65.63% | 22.36% | 12.01% |
| Both teams to score 37.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.81% | 58.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.16% | 78.84% |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.78% | 17.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.49% | 47.51% |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.81% | 55.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 12.01% | 87.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Malaga |
| 1-0 @ 16.71% 2-0 @ 14.7% 2-1 @ 8.74% 3-0 @ 8.62% 3-1 @ 5.13% 4-0 @ 3.79% 4-1 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 1.52% 5-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.82% Total : 65.62% | 1-1 @ 9.94% 0-0 @ 9.5% 2-2 @ 2.6% Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.36% | 0-1 @ 5.65% 1-2 @ 2.95% 0-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 1.73% Total : 12.01% |
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