Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 65.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 12.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.7%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.