Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sabadell win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sabadell win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.55%) and 2-1 (7.01%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 0-1 (12.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
