Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 35.17%. A win for Sabadell had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (6.98%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Sabadell win was 1-0 (13.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.