Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 42.75%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 26.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.03%) and 1-2 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.86%), while for a Malaga win it was 1-0 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
