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Segunda Division | Gameweek 33
Apr 4, 2021 at 5.15pm UK
Anxo Carro, Lugo

Lugo
0 - 1
Malaga


Valentin (55'), Venancio (82'), Rama (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Scepovic (84')
Juande (34'), Escassi (90')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Lugo and Malaga.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 37.61%. A draw had a probability of 31.8% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 30.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.72%) and 1-2 (6.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.12%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Malaga in this match.

Result
LugoDrawMalaga
30.55%31.84%37.61%
Both teams to score 37.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
29.33%70.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.34%87.66%
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.46%41.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.97%78.03%
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.59%36.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.8%73.2%
Score Analysis
    Lugo 30.54%
    Malaga 37.61%
    Draw 31.83%
LugoDrawMalaga
1-0 @ 13.28%
2-1 @ 5.9%
2-0 @ 5.84%
3-1 @ 1.73%
3-0 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 30.54%
0-0 @ 15.12%
1-1 @ 13.42%
2-2 @ 2.98%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 31.83%
0-1 @ 15.28%
0-2 @ 7.72%
1-2 @ 6.78%
0-3 @ 2.6%
1-3 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 37.61%

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