Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 53.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 20.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
0.37) 
-0.04) 
