SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Andorra win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Andorra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Andorra | Draw | Alaves |
46.58% ( -0.2) | 26.18% ( -0.05) | 27.24% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 50.16% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.19% ( 0.36) | 53.81% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.72% ( 0.3) | 75.28% ( -0.3) |
| FC Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.92% ( 0.06) | 23.08% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.08% ( 0.09) | 56.92% ( -0.09) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.21% ( 0.4) | 34.79% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.48% ( 0.42) | 71.52% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Andorra | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 11.77% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 46.58% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.14% Total : 27.24% |
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