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AL
Segunda Division | Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves
3 - 1
Ponferradina

Rioja (10'), de la Fuente (29'), de Souza (71' og.)
Sevilla (35'), Duarte (45+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ojeda (45+4')
Adot (22'), Nwakali (61'), Pascanu (90+1')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Alaves and Ponferradina.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cartagena 1-1 Alaves
Monday, September 26 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Ponferradina 2-2 Tenerife
Saturday, September 24 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 55.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 18.54%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.

Result
AlavesDrawPonferradina
55.71% (0.0030000000000001 0) 25.74% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 18.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 41.83% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.31% (0.039000000000001 0.04)59.69% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20% (0.030000000000001 0.03)80% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.45% (0.015999999999991 0.02)21.55% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.37% (0.026000000000003 0.03)54.63% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.32% (0.027000000000001 0.03)46.67% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.76% (0.021000000000001 0.02)82.24% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 55.7%
    Ponferradina 18.54%
    Draw 25.73%
AlavesDrawPonferradina
1-0 @ 15.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 11.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 6.06% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.33% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.76% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 55.7%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 10.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.44% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 7.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 4.48% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 2.92%
1-3 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 18.54%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cartagena 1-1 Alaves
Monday, September 26 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Alaves 2-1 Huesca
Sunday, September 18 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Lugo 1-2 Alaves
Saturday, September 10 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Alaves 1-1 Las Palmas
Saturday, September 3 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: UD Ibiza 1-1 Alaves
Sunday, August 28 at 9pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Mirandes
Friday, August 19 at 9pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Ponferradina 2-2 Tenerife
Saturday, September 24 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Albacete 0-1 Ponferradina
Sunday, September 18 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Ponferradina 1-2 Zaragoza
Sunday, September 11 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Ponferradina 1-3 Sporting Gijon
Saturday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Eibar 1-0 Ponferradina
Sunday, August 28 at 6.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Ponferradina 2-1 UD Ibiza
Monday, August 22 at 7pm in Segunda Division


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