Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 36.44%. A win for FC Andorra had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest FC Andorra win was 1-0 (12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.