Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 39.35%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 30.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 2-1 (7.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.48%), while for a Eibar win it was 0-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.
-0.3) 
0.32) 
