SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 44.37%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 27.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Eibar win it was 0-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Eibar |
44.37% ( 0.37) | 28.06% ( 0.1) | 27.57% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 45.12% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.6% ( -0.57) | 60.39% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.46% ( -0.43) | 80.54% ( 0.43) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.88% ( -0.07) | 27.11% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.5% ( -0.09) | 62.5% ( 0.09) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.9% ( -0.71) | 38.09% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.14% ( -0.69) | 74.86% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Eibar |
| 1-0 @ 13.48% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.85% Total : 44.37% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.05% | 0-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.63% Total : 27.57% |
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