Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 50.58%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 20.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.28%), while for a Fuenlabrada win it was 0-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
