Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fuenlabrada win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fuenlabrada win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.45%) and 2-1 (7.15%). The likeliest UD Ibiza win was 0-1 (12.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.