Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 2-1 (7.78%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.