SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Levante | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 | Granada | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Burgos | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Racing de Santander | 5 | -4 | 3 |
| 21 | Malaga | 5 | -5 | 3 |
| 22 | Mirandes | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 58.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 17.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Mirandes |
58.5% ( -0.53) | 23.65% ( 0.25) | 17.85% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 46.2% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.78% ( -0.53) | 53.21% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.22% ( -0.45) | 74.77% ( 0.45) |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.05% ( -0.39) | 17.95% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.22% ( -0.67) | 48.78% ( 0.67) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.31% ( 0.03) | 43.69% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.13% ( 0.03) | 79.86% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Granada | Draw | Mirandes |
| 1-0 @ 13.46% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 11.56% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.36% Total : 58.49% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.69% Total : 23.64% | 0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 1.68% Total : 17.85% |
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