Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 51.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Granada had a probability of 23.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
2.12) 
-0.75) 
