Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Malaga win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Mirandes	Draw	Malaga
43.59% ( 0.1)	27.47% ( 0.08)	28.93% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 47.48% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.22% (

-0.36)

57.78% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.49% (

-0.28)

78.51% (

0.28)

Mirandes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.69% (

-0.11)

26.3% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.57% (

-0.15)

61.43% (

0.15)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.43% (

-0.33)

35.57% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.67% (

-0.34)

72.33% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Mirandes 43.59%

Malaga 28.93%

Draw 27.47%

Mirandes	Draw	Malaga
1-0 @ 12.49% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 43.59%	1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.47%	0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.03% Total : 28.93%