Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 53.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Granada had a probability of 21.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.
Result | ||
Las Palmas | Draw | Granada |
53.56% ( 0.05) | 25.17% ( -0.09) | 21.27% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 47.1% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.2% ( 0.38) | 54.8% ( -0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.89% ( 0.31) | 76.11% ( -0.31) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.54% ( 0.18) | 20.46% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.08% ( 0.28) | 52.92% ( -0.28) |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.21% ( 0.26) | 40.78% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.64% ( 0.23) | 77.36% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Las Palmas | Draw | Granada |
1-0 @ 13.23% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.44% Total : 53.55% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.24% Total : 21.27% |
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