Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 53.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Granada had a probability of 21.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.09) 
