SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Granada had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ponferradina | Draw | Granada |
38.67% ( -0.17) | 26.5% ( 0.03) | 34.83% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 52.42% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.58% ( -0.09) | 52.42% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.9% ( -0.08) | 74.1% ( 0.09) |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.53% ( -0.14) | 26.47% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.35% ( -0.18) | 61.65% ( 0.19) |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.29% ( 0.04) | 28.71% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.46% ( 0.05) | 64.54% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ponferradina | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.66% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.83% |
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