SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Huesca had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.39%) and 1-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Huesca win was 1-0 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Huesca | Draw | Eibar |
29.03% ( -1.07) | 28.79% ( -0.24) | 42.18% ( 1.31) |
| Both teams to score 43.96% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.76% ( 0.43) | 62.23% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.09% ( 0.32) | 81.91% ( -0.32) |
| Huesca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.08% ( -0.6) | 37.92% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.31% ( -0.59) | 74.69% ( 0.59) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.82% ( 0.96) | 29.18% ( -0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.88% ( 1.17) | 65.12% ( -1.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Huesca | Draw | Eibar |
| 1-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.67% Total : 29.02% | 1-1 @ 13.21% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 11.06% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.78% | 0-1 @ 13.62% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.31)1-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.52% Total : 42.17% |
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