Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Huesca had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.39%) and 1-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Huesca win was 1-0 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.