SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%).
| Result | ||
| Ponferradina | Draw | Espanyol |
| 36.39% | 26.87% | 36.74% |
| Both teams to score 51.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.17% | 53.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.71% | 75.29% |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.55% | 28.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.79% | 64.21% |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.76% | 28.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.05% | 63.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ponferradina | Draw | Espanyol |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% 2-1 @ 8.03% 2-0 @ 6.35% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-0 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.71% Total : 36.38% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.03% 2-2 @ 5.08% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 10.15% 1-2 @ 8.07% 0-2 @ 6.42% 1-3 @ 3.4% 0-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.76% Total : 36.73% |
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