Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%).