Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 46.85%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 25.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a UD Ibiza win it was 0-1 (9.47%).