SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 43.2%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 26.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.78%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Ponferradina |
| 43.2% | 30.46% | 26.33% |
| Both teams to score 38.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.82% | 68.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.95% | 86.05% |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.4% | 31.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.99% | 68% |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.37% | 43.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.18% | 79.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Leganes | Draw | Ponferradina |
| 1-0 @ 15.88% 2-0 @ 9.15% 2-1 @ 7.59% 3-0 @ 3.51% 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.94% Total : 43.2% | 0-0 @ 13.78% 1-1 @ 13.17% 2-2 @ 3.15% Other @ 0.36% Total : 30.45% | 0-1 @ 11.43% 1-2 @ 5.46% 0-2 @ 4.74% 1-3 @ 1.51% 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.87% Total : 26.32% |
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