Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 51.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 20.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.04%) and 1-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Cartagena win it was 1-0 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
