SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.77%) and 2-1 (7.35%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (12.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lugo | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 38.6% | 30.38% | 31.03% |
| Both teams to score 40.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.4% | 66.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.01% | 84.99% |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.47% | 33.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.83% | 70.17% |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.2% | 38.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.47% | 75.53% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugo | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 1-0 @ 14.21% 2-0 @ 7.77% 2-1 @ 7.35% 3-0 @ 2.83% 3-1 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.49% Total : 38.59% | 1-1 @ 13.45% 0-0 @ 13% 2-2 @ 3.48% Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.36% | 0-1 @ 12.31% 1-2 @ 6.37% 0-2 @ 5.83% 1-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.56% Total : 31.02% |
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