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Segunda Division | Gameweek 11
Oct 20, 2021 at 8pm UK
Anxo Carro, Lugo
LP

Lugo
2 - 0
Las Palmas

Ferigra (5' og.), Torres (33')
Sanchez (7'), Ramos (43'), Joselu (60'), Alende (64'), Campabadal (68'), Sene (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cardona (27'), Maikel (69'), Clemente (72'), Curbelo (77'), Lemos (87')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Lugo and Las Palmas.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.77%) and 2-1 (7.35%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (12.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugo would win this match.

Result
LugoDrawLas Palmas
38.6%30.38%31.03%
Both teams to score 40.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.4%66.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.01%84.99%
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.47%33.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.83%70.17%
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.2%38.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.47%75.53%
Score Analysis
    Lugo 38.59%
    Las Palmas 31.02%
    Draw 30.36%
LugoDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 14.21%
2-0 @ 7.77%
2-1 @ 7.35%
3-0 @ 2.83%
3-1 @ 2.68%
3-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 38.59%
1-1 @ 13.45%
0-0 @ 13%
2-2 @ 3.48%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 30.36%
0-1 @ 12.31%
1-2 @ 6.37%
0-2 @ 5.83%
1-3 @ 2.01%
0-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 31.02%

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