Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 39.74%. A draw had a probability of 31.3% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 28.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 2-1 (7.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.53%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.
