Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 50.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for UD Logrones had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a UD Logrones win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.