Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 52.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.21%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.
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