SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Granada had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leganes in this match.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Granada |
39.04% ( 0.14) | 28.32% ( -0.04) | 32.64% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 46.48% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.28% ( 0.12) | 59.71% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.98% ( 0.09) | 80.02% ( -0.09) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.26% ( 0.14) | 29.74% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.19% ( 0.17) | 65.8% ( -0.17) |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.15% ( -0) | 33.85% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.48% ( -0) | 70.52% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leganes | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 12.2% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.53% Total : 39.03% | 1-1 @ 13.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.31% | 0-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.63% |
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