SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 22.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Ponferradina |
51.91% ( -0.24) | 25.45% ( 0.06) | 22.64% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 48% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.5% ( -0.06) | 54.5% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.15% ( -0.05) | 75.85% ( 0.05) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.98% ( -0.13) | 21.02% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.2% ( -0.2) | 53.8% ( 0.2) |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.77% ( 0.14) | 39.23% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.06% ( 0.13) | 75.94% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leganes | Draw | Ponferradina |
| 1-0 @ 12.86% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.32% Total : 51.91% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.43% Total : 22.64% |
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