Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 40.47%. A draw had a probability of 32.8% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 26.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.69%) and 1-2 (6.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.91%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-0 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.