SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.54%) and 2-1 (7.09%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (12.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
| 37.47% | 30.86% | 31.67% |
| Both teams to score 39.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.11% | 67.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.14% | 85.86% |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.05% | 34.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.31% | 71.69% |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.97% | 39.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.24% | 75.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Leganes | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
| 1-0 @ 14.34% 2-0 @ 7.54% 2-1 @ 7.09% 3-0 @ 2.64% 3-1 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.2% Total : 37.47% | 0-0 @ 13.64% 1-1 @ 13.49% 2-2 @ 3.34% Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.86% | 0-1 @ 12.83% 1-2 @ 6.35% 0-2 @ 6.04% 1-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.53% Total : 31.67% |
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