Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.54%) and 2-1 (7.09%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (12.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood.