Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 48.03%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 22.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.52%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
