Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.6%) and 2-1 (7.18%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 0-1 (12.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
