Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 35.44%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 31.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.06%) and 2-1 (6.7%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 0-1 (13.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood.
