Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 36.23%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.47%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (12.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.