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Segunda Division | Gameweek 12
Oct 23, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio La Rosaleda

Malaga
1 - 0
Lugo

Rodriguez (31')
Gassama (13')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Alende (33'), Pita (54')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Lugo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 42.97%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 27.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 2-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malaga in this match.

Result
MalagaDrawLugo
42.97%29.95%27.08%
Both teams to score 40.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.52%66.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.09%84.91%
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.14%30.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.86%67.14%
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.03%41.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.59%78.41%
Score Analysis
    Malaga 42.96%
    Lugo 27.08%
    Draw 29.95%
MalagaDrawLugo
1-0 @ 15.22%
2-0 @ 8.95%
2-1 @ 7.77%
3-0 @ 3.51%
3-1 @ 3.05%
3-2 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 42.96%
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 12.95%
2-2 @ 3.37%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 29.95%
0-1 @ 11.24%
1-2 @ 5.74%
0-2 @ 4.88%
1-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 27.08%

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