Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 41.72%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 27.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.74%) and 1-2 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.9%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.