SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levante win with a probability of 45.84%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 26.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Levante win was 0-1 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.25%) and 1-2 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugo | Draw | Levante |
26.11% ( 0.93) | 28.04% ( 0.49) | 45.84% ( -1.42) |
| Both teams to score 44.2% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.93% ( -1.06) | 61.07% ( 1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.95% ( -0.8) | 81.05% ( 0.8) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.28% ( 0.23) | 39.72% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.6% ( 0.21) | 76.39% ( -0.21) |
| Levante Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.32% ( -1.19) | 26.67% ( 1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.07% ( -1.61) | 61.92% ( 1.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugo | Draw | Levante |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.41% Total : 26.11% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 14% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 9.25% ( -0.26)1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.88% Total : 45.84% |
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