SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 34.32%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 31.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.78%) and 1-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Lugo win was 1-0 (13.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugo | Draw | Burgos |
34.13% ( 0.06) | 31.55% ( -0.13) | 34.32% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 38.26% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.37% ( 0.35) | 69.63% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13% ( 0.23) | 86.99% ( -0.22) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.79% ( 0.25) | 38.21% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.03% ( 0.23) | 74.97% ( -0.23) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.92% ( 0.25) | 38.08% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.16% ( 0.24) | 74.84% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugo | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 13.99% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( 0)2-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.65% Total : 34.12% | 0-0 @ 14.54% ( -0.19) 1-1 @ 13.51% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.34% Total : 31.53% | 0-1 @ 14.04% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.67% Total : 34.31% |
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