SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 62.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eibar in this match.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Lugo |
62.41% ( 0.06) | 22.38% ( 0.02) | 15.21% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 44.61% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.52% ( -0.22) | 52.48% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.85% ( -0.19) | 74.15% ( 0.19) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.68% ( -0.06) | 16.31% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.1% ( -0.1) | 45.89% ( 0.1) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.31% ( -0.26) | 46.69% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.75% ( -0.2) | 82.25% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | Lugo |
| 1-0 @ 13.81% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 62.41% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.61% Total : 22.37% | 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.25% Total : 15.21% |
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