Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.58%) and 1-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
