Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 40.58%. A draw had a probability of 31.8% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 27.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.38%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.