SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Malaga win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Eibar in this match.
| Result | ||
| Malaga | Draw | Eibar |
31.85% ( 0.07) | 28.98% ( -0.1) | 39.17% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 44.47% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.89% ( 0.33) | 62.1% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.19% ( 0.24) | 81.81% ( -0.24) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.31% ( 0.23) | 35.69% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.54% ( 0.24) | 72.46% ( -0.24) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.15% ( 0.18) | 30.85% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.87% ( 0.21) | 67.13% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malaga | Draw | Eibar |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.84% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.03% Total : 31.84% | 1-1 @ 13.34% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.98% | 0-1 @ 12.94% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 39.16% |
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