Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.32%) and 1-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Fuenlabrada win was 1-0 (12.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Zaragoza in this match.
