Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fuenlabrada win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Sabadell had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fuenlabrada win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.45%) and 2-1 (7.07%). The likeliest Sabadell win was 0-1 (12.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.