Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Malaga win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
